Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 135.169065 156.673097 181.880351 213.973887 254.279990 303.959930 3.710133e+02
2025-03-16 103.492789 128.832630 161.717230 208.760385 276.533198 374.454192 5.346349e+02
2025-03-23 90.625863 118.433433 157.177731 217.563182 314.395365 474.240822 7.862900e+02
2025-03-30 77.664307 104.745957 144.291694 209.652925 322.821442 529.477503 9.958864e+02
2025-04-06 70.273373 97.512245 139.031984 211.554070 346.883309 620.941726 1.346898e+03
2025-04-13 63.912747 90.747443 133.112349 210.620421 364.955486 708.316010 1.772674e+03
2025-04-20 60.769284 88.439001 133.819795 221.239334 408.808756 876.315665 2.659476e+03
2025-04-27 59.165933 88.306190 138.024212 239.198014 474.933843 1146.020378 4.506455e+03
2025-05-04 54.961105 83.306443 132.863368 237.265157 493.967703 1294.731214 6.242903e+03
2025-05-11 51.910202 79.926830 130.150439 239.851331 525.580825 1513.125711 9.457707e+03
2025-05-18 48.485521 75.538749 124.962032 235.954570 538.461073 1675.990354 1.336466e+04
2025-05-25 46.397906 73.323651 123.660919 240.654166 578.367312 1998.582045 2.323087e+04
2025-06-01 43.946658 70.493685 121.344929 243.971034 621.137791 2428.992262 4.883994e+04
2025-06-08 40.811545 66.149691 115.521994 237.755168 631.599379 2720.422764 9.401095e+04
2025-06-15 39.455748 65.006478 116.158357 248.274298 708.040266 3624.580690 5.264711e+05
2025-06-22 36.674715 60.858472 109.854276 238.820401 703.781202 3923.093117 1.879138e+06
2025-06-29 35.049102 58.821794 107.904760 241.090444 749.976004 4851.824260 7.286309e+10
2025-07-06 33.344196 56.477374 104.985484 239.975463 781.885867 5798.370210 NaN
2025-07-13 32.670906 56.138762 106.564334 252.675591 889.094779 8453.396686 NaN
2025-07-20 32.501667 56.806484 110.574794 274.245797 1065.293290 14636.482634 NaN
2025-07-27 31.035649 54.637239 107.504269 271.918819 1104.683141 18342.563027 NaN
2025-08-03 29.960114 53.212222 106.101022 275.032620 1183.428028 25701.107183 NaN
2025-08-10 28.597355 51.071997 102.684471 270.341730 1207.427111 31786.957413 NaN